Q1 Fiscal Report Exposes Deep Spending Gap

Ghana’s fiscal performance in the first quarter of 2026 has revealed a significant spending shortfall, with government expenditure falling well below budgeted levels despite notable increases in several key spending categories compared to the same period last year.

According to the Bank of Ghana’s May 2026 Monetary Policy Report, the government’s total expenditure and net lending for the review period amounted to GH¢62.089 billion, missing the programmed target of GH¢78.831 billion by 21.2 percent.

The figures point to a cautious approach to public spending as authorities seek to maintain fiscal discipline amid ongoing economic recovery efforts.

The latest data paints a picture of restrained expenditure across several budget lines, particularly capital investment, which continues to trail expectations despite recording strong year-on-year growth.

The report shows that expenditure cuts were evident in several major components of government spending.

Compensation of Employees, which remains one of the largest expenditure items, reached GH¢21.144 billion, falling below the target of GH¢22.689 billion. This outturn was 6.8% below its target but recorded some18.1% year-on-year growth.

Although government spent less than originally planned on employee compensation, the amount still represented a substantial increase over what was spent during the same period in 2025.

The report also highlighted the pressure that wages continue to place on public finances.

In terms of fiscal flexibility, compensation of employees constituted 34.1% of domestic revenue mobilised during the period under review.

This means that more than one-third of all domestic revenue collected during the first quarter went into paying public sector workers, leaving relatively limited fiscal space for other priorities.

Government spent GH¢1.276 billion under this category, significantly below the projected GH¢1.974 billion, representing a shortfall of 35.3 percent.

According to the Bank of Ghana, this reflected deliberate efforts to contain non-essential expenditure.

This points to some restraint on the part of the government to control discretionary spending.

While spending remained well below target, the amount represented a dramatic 153.5 percent increase compared to expenditure recorded during the first quarter of 2025, suggesting that operational spending has still expanded considerably over the past year.

Grants to other government units totalled GH¢12.334 billion, compared to the budget target of GH¢15.243 billion, resulting in a negative deviation of 19.1 percent.

Despite the shortfall, these transfers still increased by 5.5 percent compared to the corresponding period in 2025.

The figures indicate that while the government-maintained support for public institutions, it exercised tighter spending controls than originally programmed in the national budget.

Perhaps the most significant concern emerging from the report is the continued weakness in capital expenditure.

Government invested GH¢7.345 billion in capital projects during the review period, representing 0.5 percent of Gross Domestic Product.

However, this fell well below the programmed target of GH¢12.645 billion, or 0.8 percent of GDP, translating into a substantial 41.9 percent shortfall.

Although capital spending increased by 61.3 percent compared to the first quarter of 2025, the sizeable gap between actual expenditure and budgeted allocations raises fresh concerns about the pace of infrastructure development and public investment.

Capital expenditure is widely regarded as a key driver of long-term economic growth because it finances roads, schools, hospitals, energy projects and other productive investments.

Lower-than-expected investment spending could therefore delay the implementation of critical development projects.

 

Other Expenditure and Interest Payments Also Decline

Other Expenditure amounted to GH¢2.745 billion, falling 32.4 percent below the programmed target of GH¢4,059.1 million.

Nevertheless, spending under this category remained 12.3 percent higher than the corresponding period in 2025.

The government paid GH¢17.243 billion in interest during the review period, compared to the target of GH¢21.675 billion.

The report noted that this was also 6.6 percent lower than interest payments recorded during the same period last year.

Lower interest payments could provide some relief to public finances, particularly as Ghana continues implementing debt restructuring measures and fiscal consolidation efforts.

The latest fiscal figures suggest that government is prioritising expenditure restraint in its effort to maintain macroeconomic stability and improve public finances.

While many expenditure categories recorded healthy year-on-year growth, actual spending consistently fell below budget targets, reflecting tighter control over public resources.

The Bank of Ghana Report indicates that this cautious fiscal approach is particularly evident in discretionary spending and capital investment, areas where actual expenditure lagged significantly behind planned allocations.